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C'est une opportunité pour les créateurs de produits pour sûr.
Là où avant le “technical founder” passait tout son temps à coder le produit et vivait la tête dans le guidon avec un gros handicap pour penser long terme sur le produit, gagner du temps me permet de rééquilibrer la balance.
J’adore coder. Mais coder me prenait du temps de cerveau sur la stratégie.
Ce n’est plus le cas.
C'est aussi du temps pour en finir avec les "choses qu'on verra plus tard", qui finalement redevienne possible.
C'est aussi du temps libéré pour se former.
Mais récemment j’ai pu me documenter et écrire des articles sur l’état de l’art autour des questions de modérations sur les plateformes de contenu, je me suis penché sur le fonctionnement des attributions de certificats SSL, le fonctionnement des proof of work sur les captcha. J’ai creusé des sujets comme la parité de pouvoir d’achat.
Cela pousse aussi la productivité horaire vers le haut, entre autres via [l'ennui](http:// https://eventuallycoding.com/p/2023-03-accept-boredom).
S'ensuit ensuite un argumentaire démontrant que l'IA doit éviter de nous aider à faire plus, mais à faire mieux.
Et c’est là où je me demande si le forfait, la facturation au résultat, ne pourrait pas devenir plus avantageux que la facturation au temps passé.
Il s'agirait donc de facturer au résultat, au forfait, au lieu du temps passé.
Un autre biais lié à l'augmentation du coût par l'IA, c'est de penser que l'augmentation de la productivité d'un senior est constante et apporte uniquement des bénéfices. Passer sa journée à vérifier du code, ce n'est pas sain non plus.
Et les managers, les mêmes qui poussent à l’utilisation de délégations, le savent. Très bien. Ils et elles n’ont pas 60 subalternes directs, jamais. Parce qu’encadrer et endosser la responsabilité pour la production d’un tel flux de travail est impossible.
Ajoutez à ça :
- l’érosion des compétences des salarié·es senior, qui est quand même la principale conclusion de l’étude qu’Anthropic a mené ;
- la réduction des embauches des juniors, qui auraient dû être les seniors de demain via le mentorat de leurs pairs
Et vous avez une petite idée de ce qui nous attend : une perte collective de savoir-faire et des risques de non-qualité qui explosent.
Cela ressemble à l'offshoring
The revenue numbers back this up. App Store grew 11% in 2025, Google Play 5%. There's still tons of unmet demand, especially for niche use cases that were never worth building before. Lower development costs mean these niches finally get served.
For apps that run locally—no servers, no cloud costs—subscriptions make no sense anymore. The only real cost is development, and that's becoming negligible.
This sucks for developers trying to make a living from apps. The competitive pressure is going to be brutal. But for users? It's great. People have been complaining about app subscription costs for years. There's that old complaint: "Why do I have to keep paying for software after I already paid $1000 for my iPhone?"
If one employee is using AI
your employer captures 100% of the value from you adopting AI. You get nothing, or at any rate, it ain’t gonna be 9x your salary. And everyone hates you now.
And you’re exhausted. You’re tired, Boss. You got nothing for it.
Compared to the 80', time moved slowly in the sense that news and events were spaced way out and society had time to reflect on them. Now it changes so fast we can’t even keep up, let alone reflect.
Crazy addicted early adopters like me are controlling the narrative and make it unrealistic
You can’t stop reading about it in the news; there’s nowhere to hide from it.
Panicking CEOs are leaning in hard to AI, often whiplashing it into their orgs.
Companies are capitalistic extraction machines and literally don’t know how to ease up.
and we’re all setting unrealistic standards for everyone else.
$/hour. "I told the grumbler group, you can’t control the numerator of this ratio. But you have significant control over the denominator. I pointed at the /hr for dramatic effect."
Why did such an experienced leader make such an terrible mistake?
The promises made didn't hold the reality delivered.
- switching to Perl would unlock the architecture we need, rebuilding from scratch would accelerate hiring and quality)
- velocity collapsed as the team relearned and rebuilt everything, burn rate jumped from 200K to 500K per month
One strategy: how you evaluated other language candidates?
Every technical debate is really two conversations: the visible and marketed one and the (stronger private) invisible one.
The real question is: can you afford to let it make your decisions?
Because the invisible conversation has a price tag. Industry research suggests that technology stack decisions account for 40-60% of total development costs over a product’s lifecycle. Research by Stripe found that developers spend 42% of their time on technical debt.
An better question is "what is this language going to cost us?" in velocity, technical debt, hiring difficulty, operational complexity.
spf13 published a framework to estimate it: https://spf13.com/p/the-9-factors/
"Vibe coding" is a trendy expression for "Automated coding".
Automated programming especially allows me to quickly build the tools I need so fast that every blacksmith that ever existed on this earth would envy me deeply.
With the automated coding, "we can finally get rid of all that middle work. That adapting layer of garbage we blindly accepted during these years. A huge amount of frameworks and libraries and tooling that has completely polluted software engineering, especially in web, mobile and desktop development."
The frameworks claim to solve three problems: simplification, automation and labour cost. "You unlock a feature that has nothing to do with engineering: you no longer need to hire a software engineer. You hire a React Developer.
Software engineering is back in a sense again: We have the chance again to get rid of useless complexity and keep working on the true and welcome complexity of our ideas, our features, our products. The complexity that matters. The complexity that is actually yours.
Automation and boilerplating have never been so cheap to overcome. I’ve been basically never writing twice the same line of code. I’m instantly building small tools I need, purpose built, exactly shaped around the problem at hand. I don’t need any fancy monorepo manager. A simple Makefile covers 100% of my needs for 99% of my use cases.
Bash, makefiles, ...
Think about it
1.There are three states of being. Not knowing, action and completion.00
- Accept that everything is a draft. It helps to get it done.
- There is no editing stage.
- Pretending you know what you’re doing is almost the same as knowing what you are doing, so just 5. Accept that you know what you’re doing even if you don’t and do it.
- Banish procrastination. If you wait more than a week to get an idea done, abandon it.
- The point of being done is not to finish but to get other things done.
- Once you’re done you can throw it away.
- Laugh at perfection. It’s boring and keeps you from being done.
- People without dirty hands are wrong. Doing something makes you right.
- Failure counts as done. So do mistakes.
- Destruction is a variant of done.
- If you have an idea and publish it on the internet, that counts as a ghost of done.
- Done is the engine of more.
There is also an illustration for it
Bad programmers worry about the code. Good programmers worry about data structures and their relationships.
git actually has a simple design, with stable and reasonably well-documented data structures. In fact, I'm a huge proponent of designing your code around the data, rather than the other way around, and I think it's one of the reasons git has been fairly successful
The actionable tip here is to start with the data. Try to reduce code complexity through stricter types on your interfaces or databases. Spend extra time thinking through the data structures ahead of time.
That's awesome for dev and UX feedback. It w. It follows the trend that the tool only exports into a human readable format and that's more than enough.
The UI or the interpretation of the JSON can be built later on.
Uxnote is an annotation bar for mockups and websites. Drop a single script to get text highlights, element pins, numbered cards, color theming, a dimmed focus mode, import/export, and email handoff. No plugin and no backend required.
It's similar to https://loomflows.com/ but minimalistic and provide full-control over the data.
Idea -> Programming -> Feedback. Repeat.
Half of those [students] who started from scratch had working designs.
IndexedDB built with 92% successful tests
I enjoyed the experience and don’t regret it, but experiments like this cheapen the efforts I’ve made over the years. It reduces the value of things. I think this is partly why so many of us have a knee-jerk reaction to reject these tools: if they work, then they’re frankly insulting.
Simon Willison predicts a webbrowser will be built by AI until 2029.
The 2026 State of the Game Industry report (SOTI)—an annual survey conducted by GDC Festival of Gaming—indicates that one in four game developers directly experienced a layoff over the past two years.
"Leadership failed to see that the COVID-era boom was not permanent
It seems companies have a tendency to be too greedy. It's a pattern I see more and more.
I use code, LEGO, words, pictures, wood, and empathy to create stuff. Let's make the world a bit more interesting.